Desastres Naturais – Publicações

DESASTRES NATURAIS

Artigos

BORGES, P. A.; BARFUS, K.; WEISS, H.; BERNHOFER, C. Extended predictor screening, application and added value of statistical downscaling of a CMIP5 ensemble for single-site projections in Distrito Federal, Brazil. International Journal of Climatology. Advance online publication, V. 37(1), p. 46-65, 2016. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4686; http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4686/pdf

BORGES, P. A.; BARFUS, K.; WEISS, H.; BERNHOFER, C. Trend analysis and uncertainties of mean surface air temperature, precipitation and extreme indices in CMIP3 GCMs in Distrito Federal, Brazil. Environmental Earth Sciences, v. 72(2), p. 4817-4833, 2014. DOI: 10.1007/s12665-014-3301-y;

BORGES, P. A.; FRANKE, J.; DA ANUNCIAÇÃO, Y. M. T.; WEISS, H.; BERNHOFER, C. Comparison of spatial interpolation methods for the estimation of precipitation distribution in Distrito Federal, Brazil. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Advance online publication, v. 123(1), p. 335-348, 2015. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-014-1359-9; http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-014-1359-9

BORGES, P. A.; FRANKE, J.; SILVA, F. D. S.; WEISS, H.; BERNHOFER, C. Difference between climatological periods (2001-2010 vs. 1971-2000) and statistical analysis of climate trends in Central Brazil. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, v. 116(1-2), p.191-202, 2013. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-0947-4

DANTAS, V. L.; HIROTA, M.; OLIVEIRA, R. S.; PAUSAS, J. G. Disturbance maintains alternative biome states. Ecology Letters, v. 19, p. 12–19, 2015. DOI: 10.1111/ele.12537; http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12537/full

DEBORTOLI, N. A Amazônia sujeita a secas. Sustentabilidade em Debate, v. 5, p. 175-178, 2014. Link: http://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/10567/7714

DEBORTOLI, N.; DUBREUIL, V.; FUNATSU, B.; DELAHAYE, F.; HENKE, C.; RODRIGUES-FILHO, S.; SAITO, C.; FETTER, R. Rainfall Patterns in Southern Amazonia a Chronological Perspective (1970-2010). Climatic Change, v. 130, p 1573-1480, 2015. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1415-1; http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-015-1415-1

LINDOSO, D. P.; ROCHA, J. D.; DEBORTOLI, N.; PARENTE, I. I.; EIRÓ, F.; BURSZTYN, M.; RODRIGUES-FILHO, S. Integrated assessment of smallholder farming’s vulnerability to drought in the Brazilian Semi-arid: a case study in Ceará. Climatic Change, v. 1, p. 1-13, 2014. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1116-1; http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-014-1116-1

RODRIGUES, R. R.; CAMPOS, E. J. D.; HAARSMA, R. The impact of ENSO on the South Atlantic Subtropical Dipole Mode. Journal of Climate, v. 28, p. 2691-2705, 2015. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00483.1

RODRIGUES, R. R.; MCPHADEN, M. J. Why did the 2011-12 La Niña cause a severe drought in the Brazilian Northeast? Geophysical Research Letters, v. 41, 1012–1018, 2014. DOI: 10.1002/2013GL058703; http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058703/abstract

RODRIGUES-FILHO, S.; VERBURG, R.; BURSZTYN, M.; LINDOSO, D.; DEBORTOLI, N.; VILHENA, A. M. G. Election-driven weakening of deforestation control in the Brazilian Amazon. Land Use Policy, v. 43, p. 111-118, 2015. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.11.002

SALAZAR, A.; BALDI, G.; HIROTA, M.; SYKTUS, J.; MCALPINE, C. Land use and land cover change impacts on the regional climate of non-Amazonian South America: a review. Global and Planetary Change, v. 128, p. 103-119, 2015. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.02.009

STAAL, A.; DEKKER, S. C.; HIROTA, MARINA; VAN NES, E. H. Synergistic effects of drought and deforestation on the resilience of the south-eastern Amazon rainforest. Ecological Complexity, v. 22, p. 65-75, 2015. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2015.01.003

TASCHETTO, A. S.; RODRIGUES, R. R.; MEEHL, G. A.; MCGREGOR, S.; ENGLAND, M. H. How sensitive are the Pacific-tropical North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming? Climate Dynamics, v. 46(5), p. 1841-1860, 2015. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x; http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x

VAN NES, E. H.; HIROTA, M.; HOLMGREN, M.; SCHEFFER, M. Tipping points in tropical tree cover: linking theory to data. Global Change Biology, v. 20, p. 1016-1021, 2014. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12398; http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12398/full

XU, C.; HOLMGREN, M.; VAN NES, E.; HIROTA, M.; CHAPIN, F. S.; SCHEFFER, M. A Changing Number of Alternative States in the Boreal Biome: Reproducibility Risks of Replacing Remote Sensing Products. Plos One, v. 10, p. e0143014, 2015. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0143014

 

Capítulos de Livros

BORGES, P. A.; SILVA, F. D. S.; BARFUS, K.; RAMOS, A. M.; FABIO, C.; BERNHOFER, C. Climate in Central Brazil. In: Integrated Water Resource Management in Central Brazil. Lorz, C.; Makeschin, F.; Weiss, H. (eds.). IWA Publishing, London, 2014.

DEBORTOLI, N.; CAMARINHA, P.; RODRIGUES, R.R.; MARENGO, J. Índice de vulnerabilidade aos desastres naturais de inundações bruscas/enxurradas e movimentos de massa. TCN/MCTI (IN PRESS) 2015.

HERRMANN, M. L. P.; OLIVEIRA, C. A. F.; MURARA, P.; SPINELLI, K.; MENDONCA, M.; MONTEIRO, M. A.; DEBORTOLI, N.; ALVES, D. B.; PARIZOTO, D. G. V.; TOMAZZOLI, E. R.; PELLERIN, J. R. G. M.; VILELA, J. H.; FLORES, J. A. A.; CAMARGO, L. P.; FUENTES, M. V. Atlas de Desastres Naturais do Estado de Santa Catarina: período de 1980 a 2010. 2. ed. Florianópolis: IHGSC/Cadernos Geográficos, 219p, 2014.





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